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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

31st Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Breaks Multi-Year Base — Fresh Wave (5) Re-Rating Setup 🚀

UJJIVANSFB
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural View (Monthly Chart) Elliott Wave Structure: Ujjivan SFB has completed a broad, time-consuming Wave (4) correction spanning several years, forming a rounded accumulation base between ~₹15–₹60. The recent decisive breakout above ₹61–62 confirms the initiation of Wave (5) — typically the phase where price catches up with fundamentals. Base Breakout & Supply Clearance: The ₹60–62 zone was a long-standing supply wall, rejecting price multiple times since 2020. The current strong monthly close above this level signals: Complete absorption of legacy supply Transition from distribution to fresh accumulation Entry into price discovery zone Momentum Expansion (Price Behaviour): The wide-range bullish candle after prolonged compression reflects stored energy release. Such structures often lead to fast vertical moves, especially in beaten-down financials entering re-rating cycles. Measured Move Projection: The height of the multi-year base projects a medium-term upside zone of ₹90–95, aligning with: The measured breakout target on the chart ~45–50% upside from the breakout area Typical Wave (5) expansion magnitude after deep corrections Risk / Invalidation Level: As long as the stock holds above ₹58–60 on a closing basis, the bullish Wave (5) structure remains intact. Any sustained move back below this zone would imply a failed breakout. Overall View: Ujjivan SFB is shifting from survival → stabilization → expansion. Multi-year bases in financial stocks often precede sharp re-rating moves, especially when credit cycles turn supportive. This looks less like a trade and more like the early innings of a structural trend. When price spends years building a base, it doesn’t move in steps — it moves in leaps. 📈🔥

#WatchOutFor#StockInNews#Today’sTradingSetup#TechnicalViews#FundamentalViews
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