Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 24th Feb
Union Bank of India (Weekly Chart)
UNIONBANK
CMP: ₹200.5
Breakout Level: ₹172–₹175
Pattern: Large Cup Breakout (Confirmed)
🟢 Structure Overview
Clear multi-month cup:
Left high: ~₹175
Bottom: ~₹105–₹110
Right side recovery: Strong
Breakout above ₹175 already done
This is not a breakout attempt.
This is a confirmed breakout with expansion underway.
📐 Measured Move Projection
Cup depth ≈ ₹65
Projection:
₹175 + ₹65 ≈ 🎯 ₹235–₹245
Your marked 38% move aligns well with classical measurement.
📊 EMA Structure
✔ Price above 26 EMA (₹161)
✔ 26 > 52 EMA
✔ 52 > 225 EMA
✔ All EMAs rising
Perfect bullish alignment.
Momentum phase.
🔥 Price Behavior – Important Detail
Notice:
• Strong impulse candle
• No deep pullback after breakout
• Expansion with momentum
This indicates institutional participation.
🔑 Key Levels
Immediate Support:
₹185–₹190
Major Support:
₹172 (breakout zone)
Invalidation:
Weekly close below ₹170 weakens breakout structure.
🏦 Sector Context
PSU banks in second leg:
Bank of Maharashtra just attempting breakout
Union Bank already expanded
Higher beta than large private banks
This is a momentum name inside PSU banking theme.
📌 Strategy View
Aggressive:
Trail stop below ₹185
Conservative:
Wait for pullback near ₹175–₹180
Positional Target:
₹235–₹245
Extension Target (if momentum sustains):
₹260+