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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

12th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📊 Vodafone Idea (Weekly) – Multi-Month Box Breakout Setup

IDEA
🟥 1. The Structure: 15-Month Rectangle You have perfectly marked the range: Range Low: ₹6.00–6.20 Range High (Resistance): ₹11.00 Current Price: ₹11.64 Breakout Zone: Above ₹11.00–11.20 (Weekly Close) Price stayed inside this box for almost 15 months, which increases breakout reliability. 🔥 2. Current Candle = First True Breakout Attempt The latest weekly candle: ✔️ Strong body ✔️ Clean close above resistance ✔️ High momentum ✔️ No immediate selling wick This indicates institutional accumulation at lower levels and a continuation leg starting. But for confirmation: 👉 Weekly close above ₹11.20 👉 Retest of ₹11.00 holding as support Once confirmed, this becomes a valid range breakout. 🎯 3. Targets After the Breakout Box height = 11 – 6 = ₹5 Measured Move Target = 11 + 5 = ₹16 This aligns with previous supply zones around ₹15.5–₹16.5. Extended Target: ₹18–₹20 If telecom sector sentiment improves. Euphoria Target: ₹23+ Only if VIL fundamentals drastically improve (tariff hike + funding). 🟢 4. Why This Breakout Is Important Boxes of 1+ year consolidation carry high follow-through potential Volume expansion visible on the right side Weekly trend turning up for the first time in months Higher highs + higher lows forming since September Breakout of compression = trend acceleration This is the first major bullish structure since the big fall in 2024. 🛡️ 5. Stop Loss Levels For Traders: SL = ₹9.80 weekly close (Back inside the box = failed breakout) Swing Positional: SL = ₹8.20 (Bottom of local higher-low structure) Long-Term Investors: SL = ₹6.00 (Invalidation of entire 15-month structure) 🧠 6. What to Expect Next Week Strong breakouts usually follow: 1️⃣ Small pullback to ₹11.00–11.20 2️⃣ Fresh buying from this zone 3️⃣ Move toward ₹13.50–14.20 first 4️⃣ Then final push to ₹16 If the retest does not break down, this becomes a very powerful continuation setup.

#StockInNews#WatchOutFor#Today’sTradingSetup#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews
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