Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 12th Dec
📊 Vodafone Idea (Weekly) – Multi-Month Box Breakout Setup
IDEA
🟥 1. The Structure: 15-Month Rectangle
You have perfectly marked the range:
Range Low: ₹6.00–6.20
Range High (Resistance): ₹11.00
Current Price: ₹11.64
Breakout Zone: Above ₹11.00–11.20 (Weekly Close)
Price stayed inside this box for almost 15 months, which increases breakout reliability.
🔥 2. Current Candle = First True Breakout Attempt
The latest weekly candle:
✔️ Strong body
✔️ Clean close above resistance
✔️ High momentum
✔️ No immediate selling wick
This indicates institutional accumulation at lower levels and a continuation leg starting.
But for confirmation:
👉 Weekly close above ₹11.20
👉 Retest of ₹11.00 holding as support
Once confirmed, this becomes a valid range breakout.
🎯 3. Targets After the Breakout
Box height = 11 – 6 = ₹5
Measured Move Target = 11 + 5 = ₹16
This aligns with previous supply zones around ₹15.5–₹16.5.
Extended Target: ₹18–₹20
If telecom sector sentiment improves.
Euphoria Target: ₹23+
Only if VIL fundamentals drastically improve (tariff hike + funding).
🟢 4. Why This Breakout Is Important
Boxes of 1+ year consolidation carry high follow-through potential
Volume expansion visible on the right side
Weekly trend turning up for the first time in months
Higher highs + higher lows forming since September
Breakout of compression = trend acceleration
This is the first major bullish structure since the big fall in 2024.
🛡️ 5. Stop Loss Levels
For Traders:
SL = ₹9.80 weekly close
(Back inside the box = failed breakout)
Swing Positional:
SL = ₹8.20
(Bottom of local higher-low structure)
Long-Term Investors:
SL = ₹6.00
(Invalidation of entire 15-month structure)
🧠 6. What to Expect Next Week
Strong breakouts usually follow:
1️⃣ Small pullback to ₹11.00–11.20
2️⃣ Fresh buying from this zone
3️⃣ Move toward ₹13.50–14.20 first
4️⃣ Then final push to ₹16
If the retest does not break down, this becomes a very powerful continuation setup.