Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 28th Apr
You’re looking at a trend reversal + supply absorption setup.
RKFORGE
Structure Insight (What’s Really Happening)
1. Prior Downtrend
Clear sequence of lower highs + lower lows
Price trading below falling long-term averages
👉 This was a Stage 4 / distribution → decline phase
2. Base Formation (500–580 Zone)
Multiple months of sideways movement
Strong support around 500
Repeated rejection near 580
👉 This is accumulation after a downtrend, not continuation
3. Breakout + Momentum Shift
Strong bullish candle closing above 580 resistance
Price reclaiming:
20 EMA
50 EMA
Moving toward 200 DMA
👉 This is the first real sign of trend change
Why This Setup Is Different (Important for You)
Compared to your other stocks:
Triveni / NLC / ONGC → already in strength phase
Nitin Spinners / Aurobindo → base breakouts
Ramkrishna Forgings → EARLY REVERSAL
👉 Higher upside potential
👉 But lower confirmation (more risk)
Key Technical Signals
EMA alignment starting (bullish crossover phase)
Breakout above supply zone (~585)
Price approaching 200 DMA (~575–580)
👉 If it sustains above 200 DMA → trend confirmation
Measured Move Logic
Range:
580 – 500 = 80 points
Target:
580 + 80 = ~660
👉 Practical zone: 640–680
Execution Strategy
Best Entry (Professional Approach)
Retest of 575–585 zone
Aggressive Entry
Partial at current levels (~600)
Invalidation
Sustained move below 540