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DEEPAK PAL

7th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"BATA INDIA: फ्रैंचाइज़ी एक्सपैंशन से रिजल्ट रिबाउंड, 1,000 टाउन का टारगेट!"

Detailed Technical Rationale Daily Indicators: Strong Sell (RSI 38.74 Sell, STOCH 31.96 Sell, MACD -2.56 Sell, Williams %R -85.71 Oversold, CCI -131.84 Sell); all 12 MAs Sell (MA5 ₹1,206 Sell, MA50 ₹1,215 Sell, MA200 ₹1,226 Sell)—downtrend intact. Pivot Levels: Classic Pivot ₹1,209.1, R1 ₹1,210.2–R2 ₹1,212.1–R3 ₹1,213.2; S1 ₹1,207.2–S2 ₹1,206.1–S3 ₹1,204.2 (5-min pivot ₹1,206.73, R1 ₹1,212.46–R2 ₹1,221.53). Trend: Bearish bias near S2/S3 supports post-Q2 PAT miss (73% down to ₹13.9 Cr); oversold bounce possible above ₹1,207 (S1), target R1 ₹1,210–R2 ₹1,212. Enter long on pullback to ₹1,204 (S3) pre-results, SL ₹1,200; high volatility (ATR 5.63).

BATAINDIA
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Result Outlook (Feb 9 Board Meeting) Q3 FY26 unaudited/consolidated results: Revenue ~₹9,035 Cr (3.58% miss forecast, +QoQ on festive), EBITDA ₹1,818 Cr (margin pressure), PAT ₹573 Cr; EPS ₹4.46. Expectations: Subdued growth (same-store-sales weak), margins ~20% on costs; dividend possible. Consensus: Inline/slight miss vs. FY25 Q3, watch management on expansion/franchise guidance.
BATAINDIA
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Result Expectations & Stock Impact Expectations: Revenue ₹9,000-9,400 Cr (+5-8% YoY), PAT ₹500-600 Cr, margins 20%; key: Expansion updates, festive sales, online/franchise traction. Impact: Beat (PAT >₹600 Cr, guidance up) → rally ₹1,250-1,300 (R2-R3); inline → flat ₹1,200; miss (sales <₹9,000 Cr) → drop ₹1,150-1,100 (S1/S2). Oversold setup favors bounce on positives; volatility high pre-event.
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BATAINDIA
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BATAINDIA

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Daily Chart Analysis of BATA INDIA on 07022026.pdf
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