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DEEPAK PAL

10th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

“Cummins India – global technology, domestic capex tailwinds; a premium power‑solutions play riding a structural upcycle.”

Technical Analysis (Daily / Positional) The daily chart shows

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Cummins India making higher highs and higher lows since late October, with price now near the upper end of the recent range around ₹4,500+ after a strong breakout candle. The 13‑period moving average (green line on your chart) is rising steeply and price is consistently closing above it, confirming short‑term trend strength; the 20‑DMA and 50‑DMA, placed lower around the ₹4,250–4,300 zone, are also sloping up and acting as secondary supports. Parabolic SAR dots have flipped below price and are rising along with the trend, indicating that the prior corrective phase has ended and the current leg is trending up. MACD (12,26,9) shows a positive crossover with the histogram expanding on the upside again, and RSI(14) around 60–65 signals strong but not yet overbought momentum, which generally supports trend continuation rather than immediate exhaustion.
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Key Positives
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Cummins India benefits from leadership in high‑horsepower engines and gensets with strong technology and brand backing, giving it a competitive moat in mission‑critical power solutions and allowing it to maintain premium pricing in several segments. The
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company has a diversified revenue base across domestic OEMs, industrial customers and exports, which reduces single‑sector dependency and aligns it with multiple capex cycles such as data centres, manufacturing and infrastructure. Strong cash flows, high return ratios, minimal leverage and a shareholder‑friendly dividend policy further support long‑term investment appeal. Additionally, energy transition and stricter emission norms can create demand for technologically advanced engines and hybrid solutions, areas where Cummins has a global advantage.
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Daily Chart Analysis of CUMMINSIND on 10122025.pdf
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