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DEEPAK PAL

11th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"DALBHARAT: Cement Capacity Surge Powers Oversold Rebound Play."

DALBHARAT – Detailed Technical Rationale

DALBHARAT
DALBHARAT trades near ₹1962 after recent downside, holding key supports at ₹1945-1960 (S2/S1 pivot cluster) above 50/100/200-DMA (~₹2231/₹2200/₹2163), with 10/12 MAs signaling Buy despite short-term MA20 sell pressure (~₹2282). Oscillators mixed but constructive for bounce: RSI(14) 51 neutral, STOCHRSI(14) 31 Sell (oversold edge), MACD(12,26) +6.16 Buy, Ultimate Oscillator 64 Buy, though Williams %R -48/CCI -37 neutral; high ATR(31) reflects volatility post-decline. Pivot structure favors mean reversion: Classic pivot ₹2268 with R1 ₹2286-R2 ₹2309 targets on closes above ₹1970; dips to ₹1945 ideal accumulation with stops below S3 ₹2204 amid low-volume consolidation signaling base formation.
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Today's Strong Buying Movement Reason After continuous decline, heavy buying in
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DALBHARAT triggered from technical oversold bounce: STOCHRSI/Williams %R extremes sparked short-covering when price rebounded from ₹1945 pivot, supported by MACD Buy crossover and 10 MAs bullish alignment. Sector rotation in cement (infra push + GST cut hopes) and Q2 results digestion post initial weakness restored confidence; low delivery volume (~₹56k) suggests positional flows amid broader Nifty recovery, with ATR contraction signaling bottoming.
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Positives vs Negatives Positives: Capacity expansion (12 MTPA/₹6,800 Cr capex) positions for 15%+ volume growth amid infra/housing boom. Strong EBITDA growth (13.78% YoY), TTM net profit +17% and healthy balance sheet for execution. 3rd largest Indian cement player with Pan-India diversification reducing regional risks. Technical base forming with oversold oscillators/MACD Buy signaling rebound potential.
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Daily Chart Analysis of 111202025.pdf
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