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DEEPAK PAL

3rd Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

DEEPAKNTR गिरावट में खरीदारी का मौका? Chemicals Cycle के Turning Point पर

Technical Analysis & Price-Action View Using recent technical data (as of early December 2025): Price is trading significantly below all major moving averages — 20-, 50-, 100-, 200-day SMA/EMA — which indicates a bearish trend at present. Momentum/oscillator indicators (like RSI, CCI, Stochastics) appear to be in oversold zones, which sometimes signal a potential bounce or relief rally in short-term, especially if positive triggers emerge. Pivot-point data suggests near-term

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support around ₹1,517–₹1,553, with nearer supports/resistances around ₹1,538–₹1,574 (support) and ₹1,588–₹1,609 (resistance) zones. According to
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some technical-analyst consensus (on TipRanks), while there are “Buy”
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signals from MACD/oscillators, the broad moving-average status remains “Sell” — indicating that any bounce should be treated with caution and may be short-lived unless trend reversal is confirmed.
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My View — Should You Buy / Wait / Avoid? Short-term (0-6 months): WAIT Bearish technicals across all timeframes with deeply oversold oscillators and "Strong Sell" moving averages suggest staying defensive. Continuous lower highs/lows and death cross formation confirm downtrend momentum. Only consider trading on strong bounce confirmation above ₹1,550 with volume; aggressive buying carries high risk of further downside to ₹1,400-1,450 zone.
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Long-term (2-4 years): ACCUMULATE & HOLD Diversified business (Phenolics + Advanced Intermediates), ₹3,500 Cr capex pipeline, and import substitution focus provide structural growth potential. Current 39x P/E appears rich but justified if ROE recovers to 15%+. Expect volatility from chemical cycles but suitable for patient, high-conviction investors targeting 50%+ returns over 3 years.
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Daily Chart Analysis of DEEPAKNTR on 03122025.pdf
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