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DEEPAK PAL

21st Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

DLF - India's Premium Real Estate Engineer, Shaping Tomorrow

Detailed Technical Rationale (Buy-Side): DLF shows classic oversold bounce setup with RSI(14) 17.575 in extreme oversold territory, CCI(14) -194 signaling seller exhaustion, and ATR(14) 6.94 confirming high volatility capitulation near pivot S3 ₹816 extension from current ₹617.65 (-3.92% ROC). All 12 moving averages signal strong sell, but oscillator cluster divergence indicates imminent reversal. Volume 56L+ suggests accumulation during realty sector rotation. Key support ₹825-832 cluster defense targets ₹848 R1 breakout then ₹857-864 extension (7-10% upside) with stop below ₹607 day low for 1:3+ risk-reward ahead of results catalyst.

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Micro & Macro View: Micro View: DLF dominates luxury Gurugram housing with Privana ecosystem bookings momentum and Q2 collections ₹4,332 Cr surge. Low leverage, 190 Mn sqm land bank, and 15% recurring leasing income support 20%+ bookings CAGR trajectory. Macro View: RBI rate cuts enhance affordability, urban migration drives premium pricing, FII inflows post-US elections favor realty. Nifty Realty +25% YTD outperformance; Q3 high-base PAT dip risk.
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! Additional Important Points: Q1 FY26 bookings ₹11,425 Cr establishes strong pipeline entry. Trading window compliance indicates clean reporting environment. Realty sector rotation beneficiary amid government infrastructure push. Privana township launches driving premium pricing power.
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Daily Chart Analysis of DLF on 21012026.pdf
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