"Graphite India: Q3 रिबाउंड से इंफ्रा बूस्ट, 99% यूटिलाइजेशन का कमाल!"

Detailed Technical Rationale Current (Daily): Strong Sell (RSI 22.75 Oversold, CCI -108 Sell, Williams -100 Oversold, ATR 6.13 low vol, ADX 15.9 weak trend); all 12 MAs Sell (MA5 ₹542 Sell). 5-min Pivot: ₹542, R1 ₹551–R2 ₹564–R3 ₹573; S1 ₹529–S2 ₹520–S3 ₹507—oversold bounce setup near S3. Trend: Bearish symmetrical triangle (symmetric, breakout >₹650 to ₹980 tgt 4-6 mo), accumulation ₹480-650; enter long ₹520-529 (S2/S1) target ₹551-573 (R1-R3, 8-10%), SL ₹507 (S3).

Result Review (Q3 Upcoming Feb 9) Pre-Expect: Q3 sales ~₹700-750 Cr (stable realizations), EBITDA ₹130-140 Cr, PAT positive ₹50-80 Cr; trading window closed till Feb 12. Actual Outlook: Inline on volumes (99% util), cash buffer cushions; FY26 guidance infra/EAF positive. Management: K K Bangur optimistic Q2 volumes. Impact: Beat (PAT >₹80 Cr) → ₹650 breakout (₹980 tgt); inline → range ₹520-573; miss → ₹480 (symmetric support). News Events & Impact Board Feb 9 Q3/9M results; Q2 turnaround (util 99%); historical Q3 loss ₹20 Cr (prior FY25)—watch PAT flip. Stock radar: Symmetric triangle, accumulate. Impact: Positive results rally 10-15% ₹650+; negative test ₹480. Micro & Macro Events Micro: Q3 Feb 9 (window reopen Feb 12), utilization/guidance; volatility pre-event (ATR 6). Entry ₹520-529 dips. Macro: Steel capex (budget ₹10L Cr), EAF green shift, exports; risks China dumping. Infra boom positive.