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DEEPAK PAL

6th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"India Cements: Ultratech डील से शुरू हुआ नया दौर – ₹400 के लेवल से मज़बूत रिकवरी की नींव तैयार!"

Company Overview

INDIACEM
India Cements Ltd, established 1946, operates 14.5 MTPA cement capacity across South India (Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana), focusing on OPC/PPC grades for retail/institutional segments; now
INDIACEM
UltraTech Cement subsidiary post ₹7,000 Cr acquisition (55.5% stake approval Dec 2024), enabling synergies in distribution, costs, and scale amid 7% cement demand CAGR FY26-28. FY25 revenue ₹4,500 Cr, market cap ₹13,000 Cr; debt reduced to ₹886 Cr via stake sale.
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Daily Technical Analysis India Cements (NSE:
INDIACEM
INDIACEM) closed at ₹411.90 on Dec 5, 2025 (BSE depth), down from recent ₹430 ATH (Oct 29), with support cluster ₹399-₹405 (S1-S2), pivot ₹405, resistance ₹412-₹419 (R1-R3). Indicators mixed-bullish shift: RSI neutral-weekly (bullish monthly), MACD mildly bearish (weekly)/bullish (monthly), Bollinger Bands bullish-weekly/mildly bullish-monthly, MAs bullish-daily; volume 6.8M shares (above avg), seasonality +0.89% Dec avg (11/16 positive years). Oversold bounce potential if holds ₹405, breakdown risks ₹389.
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Micro and Macro Views: Micro View (Short-Term: 1-3 Months)
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Bullish technicals (MAs, Bollinger) + Q2 profit turnaround signal bounce to ₹419-₹430 if ₹405 holds; VWAP crossover positive, but high P/E warns fragility—5% downside to ₹389 possible on weak volumes; tactical buy above ₹412, SL ₹405. Macro View (Long-Term: 6-24 Months)
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UltraTech integration unlocks cost savings/scale, 7% cement demand (infra/housing), festive recovery; offsets cyclical risks—target ₹500+ (20-25% upside), bull ₹550 on 10% volume growth.
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Daily Chart Analysis of India Cements on 06122025.pdf
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