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DEEPAK PAL

1st Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Industower Q3: टावर बढ़ाओ, टेनेंसी चमकाओ, रिजल्ट धमकाओ!

Technical Analysis INDUSTOWER exhibits classic accumulation pattern forming higher lows near 200DMA ₹430 support with RSI bullish divergence (52.8 from oversold 42). Volume profile confirms strong demand zone ₹430-₹435 where 65% trades executed. MACD bullish crossover above zero-line signals momentum shift after 18% correction from ₹520 peak.

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Q3FY26 Result Expectations Consensus forecasts strong PAT beat at ₹4,003 Cr (+80% YoY) despite 1.1% revenue growth due to Q3FY25 low base (Vi provisioning). Key monitors: Tower additions >4,000, co-locations >7,000, EBITDA margin >64%, tenancy ratio 1.64-1.66x. Vodafone receivable commentary critical for re-rating. Result scenarios: BEAT (55% probability, +10-15% reaction), INLINE (35%, +3-6%), MISS (10%, -5-8%). NIM expansion, Vi collections normalization, 5G tenancy additions drive upside. High base effect tempers revenue growth expectations.
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Recent News Events & Impact Vodafone Idea receivable resolution progressing with ₹2,000 Cr collected since Q3FY25, reducing outstanding dues 26% YoY. Co-lending partnerships added 4,301 towers QoQ. Budget 2026 digital infrastructure push provides 5G tailwinds. STT hike irrelevant for infrastructure pureplay. Strategic positives: Airtel 5G tenancy ramp-up offsetting Vi weakness, Jio market share gains, pan-India 5G coverage expansion. Regulatory clarity on spectrum dues benefits towerco economics. Feb 3 earnings call guidance pivotal for H2FY26 outlook.
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Daily Chart Analysis of INDUSTOWER on 01022026.pdf
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