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DEEPAK PAL

30th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

INSIGHT--> LARGE CAP VS MIDCAP VS SMALLCAP, THE WINNER IS..?

Small Caps Beat Large Caps by a Mile… But There’s a Catch! Everyone talks about how Mid & Small Caps have outperformed Large Caps. But the latest earnings analysis reveals a much more interesting story. The headline numbers look spectacular: Since FY17: • Large Cap PAT CAGR: 14.0% • Mid Cap PAT CAGR: 21.2% • Small Cap PAT CAGR: 36.8% At first glance, it looks like Small Caps are the clear winner. But then comes the Outlier Effect. ##Remove the Best & Worst 2% — The Story Changes After removing the extreme profit performers from each category: • Large Cap PAT CAGR falls from 14.0% → 13.5% • Mid Cap falls from 21.2% → 17.1% • Small Cap falls sharply from 36.8% → 24.8% That's a BIG difference. So what's really driving Small Cap earnings? A meaningful part of their long-term outperformance comes from a relatively small number of extreme winners and losers. ------>he Bigger Surprise: Margins The earnings growth story isn't entirely about companies growing faster. A major reason is margin recovery. Since FY17: Mid Cap PAT Margin: 6.0% → 12.8% Small Cap PAT Margin: 1.3% → 8.4% Large Cap PAT Margin: 11.9% → 12.4% In simple words: Mid & Small Caps started from a much weaker profitability base. ##Large Caps Have One Major Advantage Large caps have delivered their earnings growth with far less volatility. TTM June 2026 PAT: Large Caps: ₹14.7 lakh crore Mid Caps: ₹3.8 lakh crore Small Caps: ₹1.6 lakh crore ------>Bottom Line Small Caps delivered spectacular long-term earnings growth — but the numbers become less spectacular when you remove the outliers. SOME EXAMPLES:: LARGECAP-

TCS
/ HDFCBANK/ ITC / MARUTI MIDCAP- PERSISTENT/ AUBANK / MINDACORP SMALLCAP- SUDEEPPHARM/ FUSION FINANCE / PARAGMILK

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