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DEEPAK PAL

5th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"LIC हाउसिंग फाइनेंस - घर का सपना साकार, हर कदम पर हमारा सहारा!"

Technical Analysis Daily chart presents classic oversold bounce pattern after 2-day pullback from ₹525 highs, featuring volume surge and bullish hammer candle reclaiming 20-SMA support. Hammer precisely at ₹500 psychological level testing 50-SMA confluence, RSI(14) ~35 deeply oversold with bullish divergence confirmation, MACD histogram narrowing bearish momentum. Stochastic extreme oversold territory, price positioned above pivotal 200-SMA ₹480. Pivots structure S1 ₹495-503, Pivot ₹510-518, R1 ₹525-535, R2 ₹545, targeting short-term ₹535 R1, medium-term ₹565 gap fill, long-term ₹600 resistance breakout.

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News & Events RBI rule changes prompted CEO caution on high-risk project loans reducing portfolio 5% YoY to ₹2,560 Cr FY24, alongside ₹49.7 lakh penalty for Fair Practices Code violations. Recent trading shows ₹517 CMP up 0.36% with bearish short-term trend but strong buy signals from technical indicators.
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Micro & Macro Events Micro catalysts feature Q4FY26 results, dividend declaration, affordable housing push in tier-3 cities (46 new area offices); macro influences include RBI MPC rate decisions, monsoon housing demand, government PMAY scheme extensions impacting disbursement growth.
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Global Cues & War Impact Middle East war indirectly pressures via elevated interest rates from oil inflation and rupee depreciation increasing borrowing costs, though housing finance relatively insulated compared to corporates; sustained conflict may delay realty projects affecting originations.
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#TechnicalViews#WatchOutFor#EquityResearch#HiddenGems#MacroViews
Daily Technical Chart Analysis of LICHSGFIN on 05042026.pdf
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