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DEEPAK PAL

29th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Marico: Premium FMCG Powerhouse – Riding Rural Revival to New Highs"

Technical Analysis: Price trades above all key moving averages (5/20/50/100/200 DMA), confirming sustained uptrend with daily MAs bullish and Bollinger Bands expanding toward upper band. RSI neutral across timeframes avoids overbought exhaustion, while MACD/KST remain mildly bearish on weekly/monthly charts signaling potential consolidation before next leg up. Recent 2.95% gain to ₹735+ with 12.41% OI surge (4,353 contracts added) indicates fresh long buildup rather than short covering. Support at pivot ₹735-₹714 holds firm; breakdown risks pullback to 50DMA, but upside targets ₹765 (52-week high) then ₹800 on volume confirmation.

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Reasons for Recent Bullish Movement:
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Stock surged 15% YTD outperforming Sensex by 5%, fueled by Q2 revenue beat (19.38% QoQ), domestic volume growth in rural recovery, and premiumization in haircare/foods. Derivatives data shows bullish positioning with price+OI rise confirming fresh longs amid FMCG sector resilience against market volatility. Technical shift from mildly bearish to bullish (daily MAs/Bollinger) plus relative strength vs. peers triggered momentum buying near 52-week highs.
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Upcoming News & Events: Q3FY26 results board meeting scheduled for 14 Nov 2025 (already passed – positive revenue guidance expected); next Q4 earnings ~Feb 2026 critical for margin trajectory. Potential acquisition talks for protein startup Cosmix (Dec 2025 news) to boost health foods portfolio, likely positive for diversification. Goldman Sachs India Consumer Forum (1 Dec 2025) and other investor meets could provide management guidance on rural demand/inflation outlook.
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Daily Chart Analysis of MARICO on 29122025.pdf
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