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DEEPAK PAL

10th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"NYKAA: ब्यूटी का साम्राज्य, हर महिला का स्टाइल पार्टनर!"

Detailed Technical Analysis: Current Setup: Close ₹254.10 (-1.07% Jan 9), Weekly +2.37%, Monthly +4.15%, YTD +25.6%. RSI(14) 58.49 Neutral (50-60 momentum zone), STOCH %K(14,3,3) 32.46 Sell but %D 46.73 crossover imminent, CCI(20) -30.18 Neutral exiting oversold, ADX(14) 30.84 Buy trend strength confirmed, MACD(12,26) 2.02 Sell but histogram narrowing bullish divergence signal. Ultimate Oscillator 56.92 Bearish turning neutral, ROC(12) +2.14 slowing uptrend healthy consolidation, WillR(14) -30.18 Neutral above -50 buy zone.

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Reasons for Recent Downfall: HDFC Securities Sell Dec 31 (PT cut on BPC <20% H1FY26 growth, off-platform dependency) triggered 10%+ cascade despite Q3 beat. Delivery volume weakness -25%, high P/E stretch, e-comm rotation to profitability names, festive preponement concerns. 5-day -8% vs Nifty flat reflects sentiment lag.
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Micro & Macro View: Micro (1-3 months): Neutral turning Buy - accumulate ₹235-245 targeting ₹260-280 R2-R3, Q3 results late Jan catalyst (25%+ GMV beat). Risk: Brokerage downgrades. Macro (6-12M): Bullish e-comm Beauty leader 25%+ CAGR, Fashion inflection, target ₹350-400 (+40-60%). Tailwinds: Premiumization, digital penetration 50%+.
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Upcoming News/Events & Impact: Q3 Results (late Jan): Late 20s GMV beat + Beauty 25% growth → 15% rally to ₹290-300; Fashion miss/BPC slowdown → ₹220 test. FY26 festive guidance, brand partnerships, Nykaa Luxe expansion positive. Analyst meets post-results key sentiment driver.
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#WatchOutFor#HiddenGems#EquityResearch#StockInNews#TrendingSectors
Daily Chart Analysis of NYKAA on 10012026.pdf
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