"Oberoi Realty: लक्जरी लिविंग का leader – Q3 surprise से ₹1,900 target?"
Detailed Technical Analysis:
Current Positioning: CMP ₹1,664.50 strategically 9% below recent highs ₹1,890 but above pivot ₹1,827.43 establishing higher low formation from ₹1,648 support. Intraday Structure: R1 ₹1,833 (immediate), R2 ₹1,840, R3 ₹1,846 targets upside breakout with supports S1 ₹1,820, S2 ₹1,815, S3 ₹1,807 confirming foundation.
Micro & Macro View:
Micro View: Oversold bounce ₹1,800 support tests patience but Q3 results January 19 dividend declaration catalyst favors ₹1,950 extension.
Macro View: Mumbai premium developer capturing urbanization supercycle with integrated township model positioning ₹2,500+ FY28 amid leasing income diversification.
Q3 Results Preview (Board Meeting Jan 19):
Agenda: Approve Q3/9MFY26 unaudited results + 3rd interim dividend declaration + record date.
Consensus: Revenue ₹1,400 Cr (+25% YoY), PAT ₹450 Cr (32% margins), bookings ₹1,500 Cr maintaining H1 momentum.
Conference Call Jan 20 (4 PM IST): Guidance on Commerz III, Sky City Mall leasing, land acquisition pipeline.
Reaction Framework: Beat + dividend = ₹1,900+ (14% upside), inline ₹1,750 consolidation.
Recent Performance Context:
Sunday markets closed; recent -2.36% weekly decline to ₹1,689 reflects profit booking post H1 bookings beat but YTD +8% resilience outperforms Nifty Realty -5%. December rally driven by Sky City Mall leasing ramp-up and Commerz III absorption commentary.
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