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DEEPAK PAL

18th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Oberoi Realty: लक्जरी लिविंग का leader – Q3 surprise से ₹1,900 target?"

Detailed Technical Analysis: Current Positioning: CMP ₹1,664.50 strategically 9% below recent highs ₹1,890 but above pivot ₹1,827.43 establishing higher low formation from ₹1,648 support. Intraday Structure: R1 ₹1,833 (immediate), R2 ₹1,840, R3 ₹1,846 targets upside breakout with supports S1 ₹1,820, S2 ₹1,815, S3 ₹1,807 confirming foundation.

OBEROIRLTY
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Micro & Macro View: Micro View: Oversold bounce ₹1,800 support tests patience but Q3 results January 19 dividend declaration catalyst favors ₹1,950 extension. Macro View: Mumbai premium developer capturing urbanization supercycle with integrated township model positioning ₹2,500+ FY28 amid leasing income diversification.
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Q3 Results Preview (Board Meeting Jan 19): Agenda: Approve Q3/9MFY26 unaudited results + 3rd interim dividend declaration + record date. Consensus: Revenue ₹1,400 Cr (+25% YoY), PAT ₹450 Cr (32% margins), bookings ₹1,500 Cr maintaining H1 momentum. Conference Call Jan 20 (4 PM IST): Guidance on Commerz III, Sky City Mall leasing, land acquisition pipeline. Reaction Framework: Beat + dividend = ₹1,900+ (14% upside), inline ₹1,750 consolidation.
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Recent Performance Context: Sunday markets closed; recent -2.36% weekly decline to ₹1,689 reflects profit booking post H1 bookings beat but YTD +8% resilience outperforms Nifty Realty -5%. December rally driven by Sky City Mall leasing ramp-up and Commerz III absorption commentary.
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Daily Chart Analysis of OBEROIRLTY on 18012026.pdf
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