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DEEPAK PAL

9th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

“PFC – PSU का POWERHOUSE, Stable Returns + Strong Fundamentals = Long-Term Wealth Machine!”

Technical View (Daily / Positional)

PFC
PFC is trading in the ₹345–355 zone after correcting more than 30% from its 52‑week high above ₹520, and the stock has recently made fresh 52‑week lows around ₹356–360. Price is below all key moving averages (20/50/100/200‑DMA), confirming a clear downtrend with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Momentum indicators are oversold and still negative: RSI(14) is in the low‑30s, several oscillators flash “Sell / Strong Sell,” and price is hugging the lower Bollinger Band, indicating persistent selling but also increasing odds of a short-term technical bounce.
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Today’s Buying: Start of a Reversal or Just a Bounce? Around the current 52‑week low region, the stock has seen some intraday buying and short‑covering, with visible attempts to defend the ₹345–350 band. Technically, oversold readings on RSI, CCI and other oscillators near the lower Bollinger Band support the case for a short-term relief bounce, especially if the broader market stabilises.
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Key Positives for
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PFC Strategic Maharatna PSU NBFC with a central role in financing India’s power and energy transition; majority government ownership provides comfort on continuity and access to funding. Strong financial profile: healthy AUM growth, robust NII trajectory, and double‑digit profit growth over FY23–FY25, with RoA around 2.5–2.8% and RoE in the high‑teens projected to remain steady. Attractive valuation and income profile: low P/E, P/B around or below 1x, and a high dividend payout make it appealing for long-term, yield‑oriented investors willing to tolerate volatility. Structural growth drivers from renewable projects, transmission and distribution upgrades, and broader infrastructure financing provide visibility for loan book and earnings expansion over the medium term.
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Daily Chart Analysis of PFC on 09122025.pdf
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