सपोर्ट पर सहारा, ऊपर पर दबाव – सीमित दायरे में आज बाज़ार का सफ़र

Global setup, GIFT Nifty & dollar US markets kal green में बंद hue – Dow ~0.4%, S&P 500 ~0.25% aur Nasdaq ~0.6% upar rahe, jis se risk sentiment thoda improve hua hai. Asian markets bhi Nikkei, ASX jaise indices ke saath positive zone mein trade kar rahe hain, isliye global mood cautiously constructive hai. GIFT Nifty 26,190–26,200 ke kareeb flat to हल्का negative trade kar raha hai, jo Nifty 50 ke लिए muted opening ka संकेत deta hai. Dollar index aur US yields stable hain; focus RBI MPC meet, rupee ke record‑low zone aur global data par rahega.

Index view & key levels Nifty 50 kal 26,032 par close hua, teen din ki गिरावट ke baad ab 20‑day EMA support 25,968 critical level hai; iske niche slide ho to 25,842–25,800 tak downside khul sakti hai, jabki upar 26,300 major resistance hai. Bank Nifty ke liye 20‑day EMA zone 58,950–58,850 important support hai; upside mein 59,600–59,700 hurdle aur uspe sustain kare to 60,200 tak तेज़ move ka scope banta hai. Aaj nazar rakhne layak stocks Event/theme based: Hindustan Copper, IRFC, Vodafone Idea, Chalet Hotels aaj news‑flow aur F&O positioning ke chalte focus mein reh sakte hain. Largecaps: SBI, Adani Enterprises, Sun Pharma, LIC, HUDCO jaise names par broker reports, block deals aur positioning ke karan intraday activity expected hai. Sectorally: Banks/financials (RBI policy expectations), PSU theme, and select metal & railway PSU stocks ( IRFC, RVNL type) mein volatility zyada reh sakti hai.