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DEEPAK PAL

19th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"SRF: ओवरसोल्ड रिबाउंड – सपोर्ट होल्ड कर ₹3100+ टारगेट??"

Technical Analysis: SRF displays a downtrend with price testing pivot at ₹3034.7 (classic), supports at ₹2977 (S1), ₹2940 (S2), ₹2883 (S3). All moving averages signal strong sell: MA5 ₹3060 sell, MA20 ₹3130 sell, MA50 ₹3155 sell, MA200 ₹3163 sell. Oversold indicators: RSI(14) 33.48 sell, STOCH 13.5 oversold, Williams %R -99.6 oversold, CCI -101 sell. MACD -32.79 sell, ADX 44 strong trend (bearish), ATR 43 low volatility. Resistance cluster R1 ₹3070, R2 ₹3128, R3 ₹3164; hold above ₹3034 targets bounce to ₹3070-3081.

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Micro View (Short-term): 1-2 weeks: Oversold bounce likely from ₹2940-2977 zone to ₹3070-3128 if pivot holds, pre-results volatility elevated. STOCHRSI 0 extreme oversold favors snapback; watch ₹3034 break for deeper correction to ₹2883. Low ATR suggests range consolidation.
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Macro View (Long-term): Multi-year uptrend from ₹2700 lows intact, with 50% Fib retracement support near ₹2900 holding firm. Targets ₹3200-3400 over 6-8 weeks on chemical demand recovery and capacity additions. Ichimoku cloud + anchored VWAP supports accumulation.
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Results Preview (No Specific Date Confirmed): No confirmed Q3 results on Jan 20 (unlike Persistent); typical SRF earnings post-Jan end. Expectations: Steady revenue growth from chemicals, margin stability despite raw material volatility. Past beats support post-result pops; monitor announcements.
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News Events & Impact: No major news since morning: Routine technical updates; no earnings previews today. Upcoming: Q3 results (TBD post-Jan), chemical policy changes potential tailwind. Impact: Fluorochemical demand (auto AC refrigerants) positive; raw material costs key watch. No high-impact events immediate.
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Daily Chart Analysis of SRF on 19012026.pdf
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