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DEEPAK PAL

5th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"SRF: Chemical Powerhouse Poised for Resilient Rebound – Engineering Tomorrow's Growth!"

Technical Analysis:

SRF
SRF Limited (NSE:
SRF
SRF) closed at ₹2,885.4 on December 5, 2025, marking a 1.60% gain from the previous close of ₹2,840.1, with intraday movement from a low of ₹2,828.3 to a high of ₹2,891.6 on volume of 376,427 shares (below average 423,487). Key indicators show RSI(14) at 33.48 in oversold territory, MACD at -32.79 (bearish), Stochastic %K at 13.5 (strong oversold), and Williams %R at -99, signaling potential short-term bounce but overall "Strong Sell" on daily timeframe with all moving averages (5-day: ~₹3,060, 20-day: ~₹3,130, 50-day: ₹2,943, 200-day: ₹2,975) acting as resistance. Critical support lies at ₹2,796-₹2,828 (recent lows and pivot S1), with resistance at ₹3,050 (20-day MA) and ₹3,192 (gap fill); today's bottom-to-high move of ~2.25% indicates initial recovery but lacks conviction without volume surge—buying at current levels carries risk of further 5-7% downside to ₹2,650 if support breaks, so wait for confirmation above ₹2,900 with SL below ₹2,796.
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Key Events and Impacts:
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Q2FY26 Earnings (Oct 27, 2025): Strong PAT growth of 93% beat estimates, boosting margins via cost controls, but
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stock fell 5% post-results on muted revenue guidance;
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positive long-term catalyst for chemical segment recovery. Chemours Strategic Partnership (Aug 2025): Agreements for fluoropolymers supply in India enhance export capabilities and
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market share, aligning with 68% YoY CO export surge in Oct 2025—expected to add ₹500-700 Cr annual revenue by FY27. Elevated Put Option Activity (Nov 2025): Heavy OI buildup at ₹2,900 strike ahead of Dec expiry signals bearish bets amid volatility, contributing to recent 15% correction from YTD high of ₹3,325—heightens short-term downside risk.
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Daily Chart Analysis of SRF on 051222025.pdf
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