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DEEPAK PAL

6th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Tata Steel: Forging Resilience Amid Global Headwinds – Bottom Fishing Opportunity Ahead!"

Daily Technical Analysis:

TATASTEEL
Tata Steel closed at ₹168.63 (-0.15%) on Dec 5, 2025, with intraday low ₹167.8-high ₹168.85 on low volume (sub-avg). "Strong Sell" signals dominate: RSI(14) 30.33 (oversold), MACD -0.82 (bearish crossover), Stochastic 23.63 (sell), Williams %R -89.73 (extreme oversold), ADX 49.67 (strong downtrend); all MAs bearish (5D: ₹156 sell, 20D: ₹159 sell, 50D: ₹159 sell, 200D: ₹160 sell). Pivots: Support ₹154-₹162 (S3-S1), resistance ₹169-₹173 (R1-R2); potential bounce if holds ₹162, but breakdown targets ₹150.
TATASTEEL
TATASTEEL
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Positive Factors: Domestic Growth Engine: India volumes up 17% QoQ, capex for 40 MTPA aids infra/auto demand (8-10% steel CAGR FY26). Cost Discipline: ₹115 Bn savings FY26 target via relines (Jamshedpur), lower coking coal costs. Sustainability Edge: UK EAF transition (£1.25B), green steel positioning for EU CBAM compliance. Dividend Yield: 1.2% attractive for defensives amid volatility.
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TATASTEEL
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TATASTEEL
Reasons for Recent Fall:
TATASTEEL
Stock down 15-20% from ₹190+ peaks due to global steel glut (China exports +30% YoY), weak Europe demand (-0.9% apparent consumption 2025), US Section 232 tariffs on Indian steel (5-25%), raw material price crash signaling oversupply, and Jamshedpur maintenance shutdowns curbing Q1 output—overriding strong India Q2 despite sector rotation away from metals.
TATASTEEL
TATASTEEL
TATASTEEL
TATASTEEL
TATASTEEL
!

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Daily Chart Analysis of Tata Steel on 06122025.pdf
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