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Harshal Parmar

26th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

“₹21,772 Cr Cleared! Is India’s Defence Boom Your Next Big Bet?”

BHEL
BDL
🛡️ DAC Meeting: Key Highlights - Date: December 2025 - Total Approvals: Capital acquisition proposals worth ₹21,772 crore cleared by the DAC. - Focus Areas: - AEW&C Aircraft: Approval for six Embraer aircraft with Airborne Early Warning & Control systems. - S-400 Missiles: Additional procurement of ~280 missiles; Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL) to play a key role. - Indigenous Systems: Emphasis on Indian-made radars, drones, and naval systems to strengthen self-reliance. 👁️ Investor Watchouts - Execution Timeline: While approvals are positive, actual order conversion and revenue recognition may take 12–24 months. - Valuation Stretch: Many defence PSUs have rallied significantly; monitor for valuation comfort before fresh entry. - Order Book Visibility: Focus on companies with high order book-to-revenue ratios and strong execution track records. - Policy Continuity: Watch for consistency in defence budget allocations and Make-in-India policy momentum. 🧠 Strategic Investor View 🔍 Short-Term - Momentum Play: Positive sentiment may drive near-term rallies in defence stocks. - Tactical Allocation: Use dips to accumulate quality names like BEL and HAL. 📊 Medium-Term - Earnings Visibility: Monitor quarterly updates for order wins, margin trends, and execution progress. - Diversification: Consider exposure to both large PSUs and niche private players in drones, avionics, and electronics. 🛡️ Long-Term - Structural Growth Theme: India’s defence capex is expected to grow at 8–10% CAGR over the next 5 years. - Geopolitical Tailwinds: Rising border tensions and export ambitions support sustained demand for indigenous defence capabilities.

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