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Harshal Parmar

16th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Profit jumps 39%, but margins shrink – NBCC’s Q3 is a tale of two halves!"

NBCC
Financial Highlights - Net Profit: ₹193–197 crore, up 38–39% YoY (₹138–142 crore last year). - Revenue: ₹3,022 crore, up 7–7.6% YoY. - EBITDA: ₹114.5 crore, down 21% YoY (₹144.7 crore last year). - Operating Margin: Contracted to 3.8% (down 140 bps YoY). - Order Book: Robust at ₹1.26 lakh crore, providing strong visibility for future projects. 📉 Stock Market Reaction - Despite strong profit growth, margins slipped, raising concerns about execution efficiency. - NBCC shares showed volatility post-results, but analysts highlight the huge order book as a cushion. - PSU stocks, including NBCC, remain in focus as part of the broader infrastructure growth narrative. 🧐 Investor Watchouts - Margin Pressure: Rising costs and weaker EBITDA signal execution challenges. - Order Book Utilization: Timely execution of ₹1.26 lakh crore backlog is critical for sustaining growth. - PSU Sentiment: NBCC’s performance is tied to government infrastructure push; policy changes can impact demand. - Technical Trend: Stock has potential to test multi-year highs, but near-term volatility likely due to margin concerns. 🚀 Strategic Outlook - Core Strength: NBCC continues to leverage its project management consultancy (PMC) expertise and real estate development. - Government Backing: As a Navratna CPSE under the Ministry of Housing & Urban Affairs, NBCC benefits from steady project inflows. - Growth Drivers: - Large-scale redevelopment projects (government housing, urban infrastructure). - Expansion in real estate and smart city initiatives. - Focus on sustainability and green construction. ⚖️ Impact on Stock - Short-term: Mixed reaction due to margin contraction despite profit growth. - Medium-term: Strong order book and government support provide stability. - Long-term: Strategic positioning in infrastructure and real estate could drive sustained growth, but execution efficiency must improve.

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