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Harshal Parmar

23rd Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

“War ends, but will L&T’s rally begin?”

LT
📉 Impact of War on L&T Stock - Stock decline: L&T shares fell about 22% during the US-Israel–Iran conflict, trading around ₹3,316 in late March 2026. - Operational resilience: Despite the war, 95% of L&T’s Middle East projects remained unaffected, highlighting strong execution capabilities. - Earnings risk: Analysts estimated that a month-long disruption could cut FY26 EPS by 6–8%, but this risk is now easing with the war’s end. 🧐 Investor Watchouts - Short-term volatility: Even with peace returning, insurance costs, supply chain delays, and geopolitical uncertainty may continue to weigh on sentiment. - Valuation pressure: Brokerages like Jefferies and Motilal Oswal have trimmed price targets by ~4–5%, though they maintain a “buy” rating. - Market psychology: Investors may remain cautious until earnings visibility improves, especially in overseas projects. 🚀 Strategic Outlook - Order book strength: L&T’s diversified portfolio across infrastructure, defense, and energy ensures long-term growth resilience. - Middle East exposure: With most projects unaffected, L&T is well-positioned to capitalize on reconstruction and infrastructure demand post-conflict. - Domestic tailwinds: India’s continued push for infrastructure and defense modernization provides structural growth opportunities. - Analyst stance: Despite near-term corrections, leading brokerages continue to recommend accumulation for long-term investors. ✅ Key Takeaways for Investors - Short-term: Expect volatility as markets digest war-ending news and adjust for residual risks. - Medium-term: Watch quarterly earnings for signs of recovery in margins and project execution. - Long-term: L&T remains a structurally strong play on infrastructure and defense, both in India and globally.

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