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Koustubh

20th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

LUPIN
– US Launch & TGA Boost

Two big moves caught my attention: they got approval to sell drug ingredients (APIs) globally through Australia's regulator, and launched Tolvaptan in the US - a specialty drug that could bring in $200 million over the next couple years. Instead of just making copycat pills that get cheaper every year, Lupin's moving into the behind-the-scenes stuff - making the actual ingredients other companies need, and launching more complex drugs with less competition. The upside is real: - API business has way better margins than basic generics - Tolvaptan treats a rare condition, so less pricing pressure - Global API approval opens doors they couldn't access before If

LUPIN
can stay clean with the FDA and scale these new businesses, this could be the turnaround story everyone's been waiting for. Big "if" though.

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