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Koustubh

17th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

SBIN
enters Q1 FY26 with a subdued outlook

Analysts expect profit to range from a 3% decline to 4.8% growth, reflecting margin squeeze and tepid fee income. Loan growth slowed to 10-12% while deposits grew around 10%, keeping the credit-deposit ratio elevated. Net interest margins likely dipped 10-25 basis points quarter-on-quarter as lending rate cuts filtered through faster than deposit rate reductions. This looks like a structural softness quarter where margin pressure intensifies before recovery kicks in. The key will be fee and treasury performance, plus management commentary on Q2 revival prospects. At ₹17,000 crores in annual profit,

SBIN
's stability anchors India's banking narrative, but growth remains elusive. It's essentially a defensive play in a challenging rate environment where patience will be required before meaningful upside emerges.

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