‹ All Posts
Kulneet singh

11th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Quick Commerce War: Swiggy vs Eternal — Growth or Profitability?

India’s quick commerce battle is getting more interesting. Swiggy and Eternal are chasing the same opportunity, but their strategies are starting to look quite different. Swiggy is playing the aggressive growth game. Instamart continues to expand, with the company targeting GOV of nearly ₹1.5 lakh crore by FY31 compared with around ₹28,000 crore in FY26. But this expansion comes at a cost. Nomura expects Instamart to remain loss-making through FY27 and FY28, with adjusted EBITDA losses estimated at ₹3,100 crore and ₹2,300 crore respectively. The comfort for Swiggy is its cash balance of around ₹14,300 crore, which gives it enough firepower to fund expansion. The company has also set an ambitious target of ₹10,000 crore adjusted EBITDA by FY31. Eternal, on the other hand, appears more focused on profitable growth. Blinkit is expanding rapidly, but management isn’t looking to chase market share through excessive discounting. Eternal has raised Blinkit’s steady-state EBITDA margin expectation to around 6% of NOV, supported by larger stores, better warehouse efficiency and improved working capital. This is what makes the battle interesting. Swiggy is betting heavily on scale today for profits tomorrow, while Eternal is trying to grow while improving unit economics. For investors, the bigger question may not be who grows faster, but who can grow without continuously burning more cash. The next few quarters should make that answer much clearer. Learning Outcome: In high-growth businesses, revenue and market share alone don’t tell the complete story. Cash burn, unit economics and the path to profitability matter equally. #QUICKCOMMERCE #Business Strategy #Growth Investing #EARNINGS #FUTURE

ETERNAL

#FundamentalViews#StockInNews#EquityResearch#MacroViews#TrendingSectors
907 likes·1 comment