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Kumar Satyam

7th Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

GST Cuts & Two-Wheeler Uptick: What You Should Know

Crisil Ratings expects a 5–6% rise in two-wheeler sales for FY2025–26, supported by the GST rate cut from 12% to 5% on several automotive items. In comparison, passenger vehicle growth may stay more modest at 2–3%. Why It Matters Tax Relief Driving Demand – Lower GST makes two-wheelers more affordable, especially in rural and semi-urban markets where price sensitivity is highest. Sector Divergence – Two-wheelers could outpace passenger vehicles as consumers tilt toward cost-friendly mobility in a cautious economy. Big GDP Impact – Finance Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw suggested GST reforms and tax relief together could add ₹20 lakh crore to GDP in the coming years Supportive Monsoon Boost – India is likely to receive above-average rainfall in September. A strong monsoon improves farm output and boosts rural incomes, further aiding demand for two-wheelers and FMCG products Key Takeaways for Investors Two-wheelers may see a demand revival, giving tailwinds to manufacturers and auto component suppliers. Consumption-focused sectors like FMCG and retail could also benefit from GST cuts and rural demand recovery. On a broader level, GST reforms plus favorable monsoons could strengthen GDP growth and corporate earnings over the medium term.

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