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Kumar Satyam

3rd Nov · SEBI-Registered Analyst

IndiGo Q2 FY25 Results: Turbulence in a Weak Quarter

Key Highlights: Revenue: Estimated at ₹17,600–₹19,100 crore, up 4–13% YoY, reflecting modest growth amid seasonal softness. Profit: Expected to decline sharply QoQ from ₹2,176 crore in Q1 FY25, as demand typically dips during the monsoon quarter. Margins: Pressured by higher ATF (Aviation Turbine Fuel) costs and weak pricing power in domestic routes. Load Factor & Yields: Slight moderation seen due to lower occupancy and competitive fares. International Segment: Continued strong growth as IndiGo expands overseas capacity and adds new destinations. Key Observations: Q2 is traditionally a weak quarter for airlines due to low travel demand and high operating costs. Higher fuel costs and lease rentals weighed on profitability. However, international operations and ancillary revenues (cargo, add-ons) continue to offset part of the pressure. The airline remains focused on fleet expansion and cost discipline, maintaining its leadership in domestic market share (~60%). What to Watch: Yield recovery and passenger traffic in the upcoming festive season. Jet fuel price movement and forex impact on leasing costs. Updates on fleet induction and long-haul expansion strategy. Investor Takeaway: Despite a soft Q2, IndiGo’s long-term fundamentals remain intact. Its dominant market position, improving international mix, and efficient operations make it a resilient play on India’s aviation growth story — though near-term turbulence from costs and seasonality may persist.

INDIGO

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