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Lovelesh Sharma

21st Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Godfrey Phillips - The Sin Stock and a Triangle pattern

GODFRYPHLP
continues to remain an interesting name within the broader tobacco and consumer space, where established brands, strong distribution and recurring demand provide the business with a relatively resilient operating base. The company’s core cigarette business remains the key earnings driver, while its established market position gives it an advantage in a category where scale, distribution and brand strength matter. I would continue to track volume growth, margins and the company’s ability to sustain profitability, particularly as regulatory and taxation factors remain important variables for the sector. From a technical perspective, the chart is forming a clear Symmetrical Triangle after the sharp correction from its earlier highs. The pattern is characterised by a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of contraction where buyers and sellers are gradually coming into balance. The stock is currently trading close to the lower half of this structure, with the rising trendline providing an important support around ₹2,050–2,100. The 20-DMA near ₹2,184 and 50-DMA near ₹2,175 are currently very close to each other, suggesting that the stock is at an important decision point. I would watch ₹2,200–2,250 as the first zone where buying momentum needs to return. A sustained breakout above the falling trendline, particularly above ₹2,350–2,400, would provide confirmation of a bullish triangle breakout and can potentially take the stock toward ₹2,600 and higher. On the downside, a decisive break below ₹2,050 would weaken the pattern and could bring ₹2,000 and ₹1,900 into focus. For now, I would treat the triangle as a consolidation phase and wait for a decisive breakout before expecting the next major directional move.

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