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Naveen Kumar

8th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Milky Mist Dairy Food IPO

Does stock fall in these catagories?: High Growth: The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, jumping from ₹100 crore in 2004 to ₹3,100 crore, maintaining a consistent 25-30% year-on-year revenue increase. Strong Brand/Market Positioning: The products command a premium price point, and consumers are showing willingness to pay for this perceived quality, which stands out against competitors in South India. Operational Efficiency: The company currently maintains an operating profit margin OPM of around 13-14%, which is superior to several listed peers in the dairy segment. Capacity Utilization: With current utilization at 50%, the company has significant headroom for growth without requiring immediate massive capital expenditure on new infrastructure. Key Risks Discussed: Expensive Valuation: The IPO is priced at a steep P/E ratio of 66 post-debt adjustment, which is the highest in its peer group and suggests limited room for immediate upside. Intense Competition: The dairy market is dominated by giants like Amul, and there is stiff competition from new offline retail entrants. Maintaining market share and margins in this environment is challenging. Debt Dependency: Before the IPO, the balance sheet was heavily leveraged. While the IPO proceeds will reduce debt, the company’s capital structure remains a concern. Execution Risks in Diversification: While core products like paneer are growing, newer experiments in "Ready-to-Eat" and other categories show inconsistent production growth, suggesting potential difficulty in scaling non-dairy segments. Supply Chain Shift: A shift from 85% to 75% direct farmer sourcing indicates potential issues in supply chain control or increasing operational costs by involving third parties.

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