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Naveen Kumar

13th Jul · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Millworks IPO

Does stock fall in these catagories?: Market Leader/Sector Tailwinds: Strong positioning in high-value sectors like Defense, Aerospace, Semi-conductors, and Railways, which currently command premium market valuations. High Growth: Significant jump in balance sheet size from ₹39Cr to ₹198Cr and a major surge in revenue and net profit ₹37Cr in the current year. Re-rating Potential: Compared to established competitors trading at P/E ratios of 100x, the IPO’s valuation based on recent earnings appears relatively attractive at a lower P/E, suggesting potential for post-listing price appreciation. Export Opportunity: Strategic entry into the Israeli defense market, which the management expects to become a major revenue driver via long-term contracts. Key Risks Discussed: Poor Cash Flow & Trade Receivables: A significant portion of revenue is trapped in trade receivables; the company is burning cash and relying on external capital to fund operations. Governance & Management History: The company was incorporated in late 2021 very young; the management lacks a long-term track record of navigating diverse market cycles. Promoter Dilution: Post-IPO promoter holding drops to 47%, raising concerns about long-term control and skin-in-the-game. Execution Uncertainty: A large portion of the order book remains pending/unexecuted, raising questions about operational efficiency and the ability to convert orders into cash. SME Category Limitation: Choosing the SME board over the Main Board suggests lower regulatory scrutiny, which may increase investment risk compared to larger, more transparent companies. Low Asset Insurance: The insured value of properties ₹20Cr is disproportionately low compared to the company’s claimed valuation of ₹600Cr.

#IPO#Miscellaneous#EquityResearch#MacroViews#FundamentalViews
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