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Nikita (SEBI RA)

22nd Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Breakout vs Fakeout – How to Identify the Difference

Every breakout is not a buying opportunity. Many retail traders fall for fake breakouts, where price briefly moves above resistance and then reverses sharply. So how do professionals differentiate? ✅ Volume Confirmation – A real breakout happens with at least 2–3x average volume. ✅ Closing Basis – Wait for a daily candle close above resistance. Intraday spike is often a trap. ✅ Retest with Rejection Wick – The best entries happen when price breaks out, comes back to test the breakout level, and gives a reversal candle with volume. ❌ Avoid breakouts in overbought RSI (above 75), especially in weak market sentiment. Example: Stock X was in a ₹120–130 range. One day it spiked to ₹135 intraday but closed at ₹129. Next day it dropped to ₹122. That’s a fakeout. Wait for confirmation. Don’t chase price – analyze strength.

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