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RA Anupam Bajpai

7th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

IOC
(IOC) – Signs of Weakness Near Resistance; Possible Short-Term Correction

IOC
(IOC) has delivered a solid performance in recent quarters, supported by improved operational efficiency, better refining margins, and strong profit growth. However, the stock is now trading close to a major resistance zone around ₹145–₹150, where upward momentum appears to be fading. Technical indicators are showing signs of exhaustion — RSI is hovering near 65, MACD has started to flatten, and the price is touching the upper Bollinger Band, all suggesting limited upside potential in the short term. While IOC’s fundamentals remain robust, with consistent profitability, a reasonable valuation, and a healthy dividend payout, near-term risks such as fluctuating crude prices, inventory losses, and narrowing margins may impact performance. The ADX also signals weakening trend strength, indicating that buyers are losing control. Given these factors, the stock could witness mild profit booking or a corrective move toward the ₹138–₹140 support zone before attempting another upward move. A sustained break below these levels could invite deeper correction, whereas a strong breakout above ₹150 with volume would be required to regain bullish momentum.

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