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Rajneesh Sharma CFTe

8th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd: Rising Channel Breakdown Meets Bearish RSI Divergence

GODFRYPHLP
Market Structure & Trend Context The stock has been trading inside a well-defined rising channel over the medium term. Recent price action shows a breakdown from the upper channel, followed by a sharp corrective move. Price is now hovering near the lower channel boundary, indicating a transition from momentum-driven trend to a mean-reversion phase. 📐 Key Price Zones to Track Immediate Supply Zone: ₹2,280 – ₹2,320 This zone has acted as a repeated rejection area after the recent fall. Intermediate Support Zone: ₹2,000 – ₹2,050 A structurally important horizontal area where price is currently stabilising. Major Structural Support: ₹1,850 – ₹1,900 Confluence of prior breakout zone and long-term trend support. 📉 Momentum & RSI Perspective RSI has formed a clear bearish divergence against price near the recent highs. Despite higher price peaks, RSI failed to confirm strength, signalling exhaustion in momentum. RSI remains below the 50–55 zone, suggesting weak upside follow-through and ongoing corrective bias. 📊 Volume Behaviour Elevated volumes were seen during the decline from the highs, indicating distribution rather than healthy pullback. Recent sessions show relatively muted volume, pointing to indecision and base-building attempts rather than aggressive buying. 🧠 Structural Read Trend is no longer one-sided; the stock is transitioning from trend continuation to consolidation/correction. Any recovery attempt will need to overcome overhead supply from the broken channel. Until momentum improves, price action is likely to remain selective and range-oriented. 📢 Disclaimer: For educational and technical analysis purposes only; not investment advice. 👤 Rajneesh Sharma – SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020332)

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