Indian Oil Corp (IOC) has been trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern since early 2024 — marked by lower highs and higher lows, indicating a phase of consolidation.
Key levels:
Resistance: ~₹163.90
Immediate resistance: ~₹145.25 (being tested now)
Support: ~₹133.87
Long-term trendline support rising from mid-2022 remains intact.
Current technical read:
The stock recently staged a sharp recovery from its lower support (~₹120–130 zone) back towards the upper part of the triangle.
It is now testing the ₹145 zone — a breakout above this could open room towards ₹163+.
The broader triangle indicates a potential larger move once either side breaks — watch for volume confirmation.
Oil price connection:
IOC’s performance is closely linked to crude oil price trends:
Rising crude → higher raw material costs → margin pressure.
Falling/stable crude → improved margin visibility → positive for refiners.
The current Israel-Iran tensions and crude oil volatility (~$75+) make this test of resistance even more important:
If crude spikes further → IOC may face headwinds.
If crude stabilizes → IOC could attempt a technical breakout from the triangle.
🧑💼 Rajneesh Sharma is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No. INH000020332).
📄 Investments are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.
📢 Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a buy or sell recommendation. I may or may not be holding a position in the stock mentioned.