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Rajneesh Sharma CFTe

9th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🏭 NLC India Ltd. – Sustained Base Formation with Breakout Structure

NLCINDIA
🔹 Price Action CMP: ₹272.50 (–3.80%) The stock has been consolidating within a broad horizontal range between ₹195 and ₹295 for over a year, forming a rounded base structure. Price recently broke above the short-term descending trendline, retested near support, and continues to hold above the 20-week EMA. 🔹 Technical Observations Pattern: Rounded base evolving into an ascending triangle pattern. Volume Profile: High-volume node around ₹235–₹245 acting as strong demand zone (POC zone visible). Trend: Price above the medium-term average; structure shows accumulation followed by gradual expansion. RSI: Sustained above 54 with an upsloping trendline — momentum gradually strengthening. MACD: Clear bullish crossover with histogram expanding positively, suggesting improving trend conviction. OBV/Strength Indicator: Recently crossed above zero (highlighted zone), confirming accumulation. 🔹 Key Levels Immediate Resistance: ₹295. Major Resistance: ₹310. Immediate Support: ₹250. Major Support: ₹235. 🔹 Strength & Risk ✅ Rounded base and higher low structure support accumulation trend. ✅ RSI and MACD momentum alignment adds confidence in structural strength. ✅ OBV breakout confirms participation from broader market participants. ❌ Short-term rejection seen near ₹295 resistance zone. ❌ Sustained move below ₹235 would weaken accumulation bias. 🔹 Outlook The stock remains in a healthy consolidation–accumulation phase within a long-term uptrend. Momentum indicators and volume structure suggest the base formation is maturing, with potential for range expansion once price sustains above ₹295. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. 🧑‍💼 Rajneesh Sharma – SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020332)

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NLC India report.pdf
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