🔹 Price Action
CMP: ₹5,407.50 (−2.97%)
Tata Elxsi has been trading within a falling wedge pattern since June 2024, with price consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
However, a bullish RSI divergence has formed near the lower wedge boundary, indicating potential trend exhaustion on the downside.
🔹 Technical Observations
Pattern: Falling wedge — a typically bullish reversal structure.
Trend: Short-term downtrend; mid-term base formation likely near ₹5,200 zone.
Volume: Sudden rise in volume near recent swing low, hinting at accumulation interest.
RSI: Displays bullish divergence — RSI forming higher lows while price makes lower lows, suggesting waning selling pressure.
MACD (not shown): Expected to turn positive on follow-through above resistance line.
🔹 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,600.
Major Resistance: ₹5,800.
Immediate Support: ₹5,200.
Major Support: ₹5,000.
🔹 Strength & Risk
✅ Bullish divergence signals potential reversal setup.
✅ Wedge pattern nearing convergence point — breakout watch zone.
✅ Volume uptick near support confirms active demand.
❌ Price still below key trendline resistance; confirmation pending.
❌ Volatility risk remains high due to recent wide candles.
🔹 Outlook
Tata Elxsi’s daily chart shows early signs of bottoming within a falling wedge, supported by a bullish RSI divergence.
Sustained momentum above ₹5,600 would strengthen the case for a trend reversal, while holding above ₹5,200 keeps structure constructive.
📢 Disclaimer: This is educational technical analysis, not investment advice.
🧑💼 Rajneesh Sharma – SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020332)