🔍 Technical Analysis of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd
HINDPETRO
📈 Chart Pattern & Trend Analysis
The weekly chart of HPCL reveals a consolidation breakout followed by a failed retest at higher resistance levels. Price action suggests a recent rejection near a major resistance, pulling back towards a previous breakout zone.
A symmetrical triangle breakout occurred around April 2025, followed by a sharp move upward. However, the stock failed to hold above the ₹425–₹430 zone and has recently retraced from that level.
🔒 Key Resistance Levels
₹425.95 – Major resistance zone, previously acted as a supply zone in May–June 2024 and again in June 2025. Multiple weekly candles failed to close above this level.
₹440.00 – Psychological round number and minor price ceiling.
₹451.45 – 52-week high, the next upside target if ₹426 is decisively breached.
🛡️ Key Support Levels
₹380.00 – Immediate horizontal support, also near the breakout zone of the previous triangle pattern.
₹360.00 – Trendline support from earlier rising wedge, now acting as secondary support.
₹340.00 – Breakdown zone from early 2025; if breached, it signals a bearish reversal.
🧠 Volume Analysis
Volume spiked during the breakout in April–May 2025 but has since tapered off, suggesting a lack of conviction on the upside.
The current red candle (decline) has relatively higher volume, indicating distribution or profit booking near resistance.
🕯️ Candlestick Observations
The most recent weekly candle is a strong bearish bar, rejecting the ₹425.95 resistance.
There’s a possibility of a lower high forming, which may suggest weakness if ₹380 breaks.
If HPCL holds ₹380 and rebounds, we could see a retest of ₹426, and a breakout may trigger a rally to ₹440–₹451.
Triangle breakout structure still valid unless price breaks back below ₹360.
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a buy or sell recommendation.
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