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Rakesh Madhav CFA

17th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Bank of Baroda: Strong PSU Banking Momentum With Structural Support

BANKBARODA
is showing a constructive weekly setup after consolidating near the ₹280–₹300 zone. The broader structure remains bullish, with price forming higher highs and higher lows over the past two years. Recent pullbacks appear corrective rather than trend-reversing, indicating underlying demand at lower levels. Technical View (Weekly): Price trading above 20 EMA and sustaining above 50 EMA, reflecting medium-term strength ₹280–₹290 zone acting as strong demand/support cluster Immediate resistance near ₹320; sustained breakout could open higher momentum leg Stoch RSI recently rebounding from oversold territory, suggesting fresh momentum cycle Volume expansion seen during prior upswings, confirming institutional participation As long as price holds above ₹280, trend bias remains positive. A decisive move above ₹320 could trigger continuation toward previous swing highs. Fundamental Strength: Strong improvement in asset quality; GNPA and NNPA ratios have steadily declined Healthy credit growth driven by retail, MSME and corporate lending Net Interest Margin (NIM) stable despite rate cycle fluctuations Improving Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) vs historical averages Attractive valuation compared to private peers on P/B basis PSU banking theme continues to benefit from capex revival, improving balance sheets, and strong government backing. Bank of Baroda stands out among public sector banks with disciplined provisioning and steady profitability. Overall, the stock combines improving fundamentals with a technically strong structure. Watch ₹280 as key support and ₹320 as breakout trigger for the next directional move.

#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews#EquityResearch
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