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Rakesh Madhav CFA

2nd Aug 2025 ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿ“Œ HUL โ€“ Riding Strong on Earnings Momentum ๐Ÿ’น CMP โ‚น2,553 | Charting a breakout move

HINDUNILVR
has broken out of its consolidation range and moved into a rising parallel channel, suggesting a bullish trend reversal. ๐ŸŸฉ Strong green candle with high volume confirms buying interest. ๐Ÿ“Š RSI has bounced above 60 (currently ~67), entering bullish territory, with room for further upside. ๐ŸŸฃ Price has closed above all major EMAs with Bollinger Band expansion visible โ€” indicating trend strength with volatility. ๐Ÿ”บ Immediate resistance: โ‚น2,620 ๐ŸŸข Support zones: โ‚น2,480 / โ‚น2,380 ๐Ÿ“‰ Stop-loss (for short-term traders): โ‚น2,445 ๐Ÿงฎ Fundamental Triggers ๐Ÿ“Š Q1 FY26 Earnings Beat Revenue up +4.5% YoY to โ‚น15,560 Cr EBITDA margin improved to 24.3% Net profit: โ‚น2,720 Cr vs โ‚น2,500 Cr YoY Volume growth of ~4%, beating FMCG peers Margin gains from softening raw material prices (esp. crude & palm oil) ๐Ÿ  Strong Rural Revival Management commentary highlighted revival in rural demand, a key growth lever Urban demand remains robust ๐Ÿงด Portfolio Strength Core brands like Dove, Surf Excel, Lifebuoy, and Horlicks continued to deliver Premium portfolio growth + good pricing discipline = sustained margins ๐Ÿ“ฆ Distribution & Efficiency Project Shikhar and increased D2C push helped improve reach Cost optimization & digital transformation remain focus areas ๐Ÿ”” Short-Term View: Strong upside momentum likely to continue. If โ‚น2,620 is crossed convincingly, stock can target โ‚น2,740 in coming weeks. ๐Ÿ”’ Long-Term View: Structural uptrend backed by defensive strength, margin levers, and brand equity. Ideal portfolio pick for stability + compounding. โœ… Our Accuracy Continues: HUL bounced sharply from our support zone near โ‚น2,380, validating our bullish stance shared last week. ๐ŸŸข Verdict: FMCG re-rating in play. HUL is back in action. Accumulate on dips.

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