📌 JIOFIN | Technical + Fundamental View
CMP ₹329.25 | +2.79% | 31 July 2025
🔍 Technical Snapshot
JIOFIN
bounced sharply today from the ₹315–317 zone, backed by rising volume and RSI reversal. The price crossed above both 9 & 21 EMA after a bullish breakout from recent consolidation.
📈 Short-Term View (Next 5–10 Days):
✅ RSI reversed from ~45 to ~63 → momentum pickup
✅ EMA crossover confirms fresh upside momentum
✅ OI data shows heavy call unwinding at 330–340 strikes
📌 Immediate Resistance: ₹338–342
📌 Support: ₹315
🎯 Target: ₹350+ if sustained above ₹333
📊 Open Interest Action (Expiry: 31 July)
Put writing seen at ₹320, ₹325 → strong near-term support
PCR at 0.47 → short covering on Calls dominating
High unwinding in ₹330–₹340 Calls indicates bullish bias
💼 Fundamental Tailwinds
JioFin’s strong uptrend is not just technical — it’s driven by clear growth visibility and strategic moves:
✅ Q1 FY26 Results
🔸 Revenue: ₹619 Cr (+48% YoY)
🔸 Net Profit: ₹325 Cr
🔸 Lending income: ₹219 Cr (4x growth)
🔸 AUM via JCL: ₹11,665 Cr vs ₹217 Cr YoY
✅ Strategic Capital Infusion
₹15,825 Cr promoter funding to scale lending and insurance
Stake rises to ~54%, boosting long-term investor confidence
✅ Jio-BlackRock JV Impact
SEBI nod for MF and advisory arm
Opens new recurring revenue verticals
🔮 Long-Term View (6–12 Months):
📈 Potential multibagger if retail lending, insurance, and MF business scales as projected
🚀 Likely to evolve into full-scale NBFC-fintech giant with Reliance ecosystem support
🎯 Long-Term Target: ₹420–₹450+ (if business execution remains on track)
💬 Our Take:
JioFin is no longer just a story stock. It’s entering execution mode—with visible earnings growth, promoter skin-in-the-game, and sector tailwinds. Technicals and fundamentals are now aligned.
🛡️ Investors with medium-to-long term view can accumulate on dips, while traders may ride momentum with tight stop-losses