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Rakesh Madhav CFA

31st Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📌 JIOFIN | Technical + Fundamental View CMP ₹329.25 | +2.79% | 31 July 2025

🔍 Technical Snapshot

JIOFIN
bounced sharply today from the ₹315–317 zone, backed by rising volume and RSI reversal. The price crossed above both 9 & 21 EMA after a bullish breakout from recent consolidation. 📈 Short-Term View (Next 5–10 Days): ✅ RSI reversed from ~45 to ~63 → momentum pickup ✅ EMA crossover confirms fresh upside momentum ✅ OI data shows heavy call unwinding at 330–340 strikes 📌 Immediate Resistance: ₹338–342 📌 Support: ₹315 🎯 Target: ₹350+ if sustained above ₹333 📊 Open Interest Action (Expiry: 31 July) Put writing seen at ₹320, ₹325 → strong near-term support PCR at 0.47 → short covering on Calls dominating High unwinding in ₹330–₹340 Calls indicates bullish bias 💼 Fundamental Tailwinds JioFin’s strong uptrend is not just technical — it’s driven by clear growth visibility and strategic moves: ✅ Q1 FY26 Results 🔸 Revenue: ₹619 Cr (+48% YoY) 🔸 Net Profit: ₹325 Cr 🔸 Lending income: ₹219 Cr (4x growth) 🔸 AUM via JCL: ₹11,665 Cr vs ₹217 Cr YoY ✅ Strategic Capital Infusion ₹15,825 Cr promoter funding to scale lending and insurance Stake rises to ~54%, boosting long-term investor confidence ✅ Jio-BlackRock JV Impact SEBI nod for MF and advisory arm Opens new recurring revenue verticals 🔮 Long-Term View (6–12 Months): 📈 Potential multibagger if retail lending, insurance, and MF business scales as projected 🚀 Likely to evolve into full-scale NBFC-fintech giant with Reliance ecosystem support 🎯 Long-Term Target: ₹420–₹450+ (if business execution remains on track) 💬 Our Take: JioFin is no longer just a story stock. It’s entering execution mode—with visible earnings growth, promoter skin-in-the-game, and sector tailwinds. Technicals and fundamentals are now aligned. 🛡️ Investors with medium-to-long term view can accumulate on dips, while traders may ride momentum with tight stop-losses

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