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Rakesh Madhav CFA

1st Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📌 JM Financial (JMFINANCIL) – Technical & Fundamental View

JMFINANCIL
Technical View: JM Financial has been in a strong uptrend since March, with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The stock recently retested its rising channel support near ₹177 and bounced back sharply, now trading at ₹185. RSI at ~59 suggests momentum is healthy but not overbought, leaving room for further upside. Volumes have picked up on green candles, confirming accumulation. Support: ₹177 / ₹159 Resistance: ₹190 (immediate), ₹202 (channel top) Sustaining above ₹190 may lead to ₹200–202 in short term. Fundamental View JM Financial is a diversified financial services group with strong presence in investment banking, lending, and asset management. The company has been expanding its retail lending book (housing & SME finance), while maintaining leadership in distressed asset resolution and debt syndication. Healthy capital adequacy and improving disbursements in retail credit are positives. However, profitability is sensitive to credit growth, interest rate cycles, and regulatory changes. Q1 results indicated steady loan book growth but margins remain under pressure due to higher funding costs. Analyst Ratings Consensus: Hold with Positive Bias Target Range (12M): ₹195–205 Valuations are reasonable compared to NBFC peers, but growth trajectory in retail lending will be key. Risks Asset quality deterioration in case of economic slowdown. Dependence on capital markets; weak IPO/IB activity may hurt earnings. Competition from larger NBFCs and banks in retail finance. Regulatory tightening on NBFC funding and leverage. ✅ Outlook: As long as the stock sustains above ₹177, momentum favors bulls. Short-term traders can eye ₹190–202, while investors can accumulate on dips for a medium-term target of ₹210+

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