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M&M
🔍 Fundamentals Driving the Rally
Q1 FY26 Results: PAT up 24% YoY to ₹4,083 Cr; Revenue up 23% YoY to ₹45,529 Cr.
SUV Segment: Market share up 570 bps YoY; July sales surged 20%.
Farm Equipment: Tractor sales up ~10% in June; exports also rising.
EV Push: Exploring local rare-earth magnet production to cut China dependency.
💰 GST Impact
SUVs taxed at 28% + cess, keeping vehicles costlier, but demand remains strong.
Tractors largely exempt → supports affordability & rural demand.
EVs taxed at only 5% GST → major positive for M&M’s upcoming electric SUV portfolio.
CVs at 28%, but GST input credits aid supply chain efficiency.
Net View: Neutral-to-Positive; any cess hike on SUVs is a risk.
📊 Technical & Analyst View
Stock closed at ₹3,561 (+2.3%), trading inside a rising channel near all-time highs.
Resistance: ₹3,600–3,650 | Support: ₹3,500 / ₹3,375.
RSI at 67 – momentum strong, not yet overbought.
Analyst Targets: Nomura ₹3,779, Nuvama ₹3,700, Motilal Oswal ₹3,482.
🎯 Outlook
Short Term (1–2M): May test ₹3,600–3,650; dips to ₹3,500–3,520 attractive.
Long Term (6–12M): Upside potential toward ₹3,700–3,800+, supported by SUV demand, EV strategy & rural recovery.
✅ Bottom Line
M&M’s rally is backed by strong earnings, market leadership in SUVs & tractors, and EV tailwinds. With analyst targets 10–15% above CMP, the stock looks promising for both momentum traders and long-term investors.#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews#Post-ClosingCommentary
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