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Rakesh Madhav CFA

11th Sep ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿ“Š Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders (Mazdock) โ€“ Technical & Fundamental View

MAZDOCK
Technical Outlook: Mazdock corrected from its June highs of โ‚น3,700 and recently found support near โ‚น2,650. The stock is now rebounding, trading above its 20/50-day EMAs (โ‚น2,717/โ‚น2,730), signaling early trend reversal. RSI at ~54 shows improving momentum without being overbought. Resistance is seen near โ‚น2,950โ€“โ‚น3,000, while key support lies at โ‚น2,700. A breakout above โ‚น3,000 could open doors towards โ‚น3,200โ€“โ‚น3,400. Fundamental Outlook: Mazdock, a leading defense PSU in shipbuilding and submarines, continues to benefit from Indiaโ€™s defense indigenization push and rising naval capex. The company has a robust order book, providing long-term revenue visibility. Execution of submarine and warship projects, along with opportunities in exports, strengthen earnings prospects. Its strong balance sheet, high margins, and consistent dividend payouts make it a stable PSU play. Valuation โ€“ Are Prices Attractive? After the recent correction (~25% from highs), current levels around โ‚น2,800 look reasonably attractive for long-term investors, considering the earnings visibility and sector tailwinds. However, volatility may persist in the short term as the stock consolidates. Short-Term View: Positive bias; can test โ‚น2,950โ€“โ‚น3,000 with support at โ‚น2,700. Long-Term View: Bullish; strong order pipeline and defense push could take the stock back towards โ‚น3,400โ€“โ‚น3,700 over 12โ€“18 months. โš ๏ธ Risks: Execution delays, dependence on government orders, and cost overruns on projects.

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