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Rakesh Madhav CFA

9th Aug 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📈 MFSL (Max Financial Services) – Strong Rebound

MFSL
gained 3.1% today, fueled by robust Q1 FY26 performance and bullish technical momentum 🔹 Fundamentals: Q1 consolidated revenue +18–19% YoY. Individual Adjusted First-Year Premium +23% YoY to ₹1,553 Cr. Value of New Business up 32% YoY with margins at 20.1% (+260bps). Embedded Value rose 20% YoY to ₹26,478 Cr; RoEV at 14.3%. 🔹 Technicals: Strong green candle with above-average volumes. Bounce from short-term support near ₹1,500, reclaiming key moving averages. Next resistances: ₹1,600–₹1,650; support at ₹1,500. Bullish cup-and-handle pattern in play. 🔹 Analysts’ Ratings: Citi: Buy, TP ₹1,840. Jefferies: Buy, TP ₹1,830. Street consensus remains positive citing premium growth & margin expansion. 🔹 Short-Term View: Likely to test ₹1,600–₹1,650 if momentum sustains; possible consolidation near resistance zone. 🔹 Long-Term View: Strong growth outlook backed by Axis Max Life performance; well-positioned in private life insurance space. ⚠ Risks: Premium valuation (P/B ~10x, high P/E) leaves limited room for error. Dependence on Axis Max Life’s sustained growth. Regulatory changes in insurance sector could impact margins. 📊 Overall: Solid fundamentals + technical breakout support a bullish stance, but monitor valuation & regulatory risks.

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