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Rakesh Madhav CFA

5th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Muthoot Finance: Fresh Breakout, Strong Uptrend Intact

Technical View:

MUTHOOTFIN
has given a clean breakout above ₹3,075, confirming a strong uptrend continuation. The stock is trading near ₹3,160–3,170 with consistent higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. RSI around 73 shows strong momentum — mildly overbought but still supportive of further upside. Key support lies at ₹3,050 and ₹2,980, while the next resistance zone is seen at ₹3,250–3,300. Sustaining above ₹3,150 can extend the rally toward ₹3,350+. Fundamental View: Muthoot Finance continues to benefit from robust demand for gold-backed loans and stable yields. The company has maintained strong asset quality (GNPA < 1%), healthy margins, and consistent profitability despite higher interest rates. Liquidity remains comfortable with strong capital adequacy and a leading market share in India’s gold loan segment. Risks: Rising competition from NBFCs and banks in gold loans, and regulatory tightening in lending norms, could affect growth momentum. Outlook: Momentum remains bullish above ₹3,050. A sustained close above ₹3,200 could lead to an upside move toward ₹3,350–3,400 in the short term. Any dip toward ₹3,000 may act as a buying opportunity for trend followers.

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