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Rakesh Madhav CFA

1st Aug 2025 ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿ”ฅ NIFTY 50 โ€“ Short-Term Technical & Fundamental View ๐Ÿ“ Current Level: 24,572.15 (as on 1st Aug 2025)

๐Ÿ“ Current Level: 24,572.15 (as on 1st Aug 2025) ๐ŸŽฏ Once again, our support level of 24,600โ€“24,500 worked perfectly! Nifty bounced right from our marked zone โ€” highlighting our precision and analysis-driven approach. ๐Ÿ“ˆโœ… ๐Ÿ” Technical View (Bearish to Neutral Bias) โœ… Support Zone Respected: Nifty took strong support at 24,600โ€“24,500, just as we highlighted yesterday โ€” accuracy proven again. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Next support: 24,200 ๐Ÿšซ Resistance Zones Ahead: Heavy call OI and price rejection at 24,750โ€“24,800 โš ๏ธ A close above 24,850 is needed to flip sentiment bullish again. ๐Ÿ“‰ Indicators: RSI at 33 โ€“ still weak, nearing oversold but no reversal signal yet. Short-term trend: Still downward; lower highs since 25,250. Price trading below 8 & 21 EMA, showing selling pressure persists ๐Ÿ“Š Derivative Data Highlights (Aug 1st, Expiry: 07 Aug) PCR = 0.6 โ†’ Bearish sentiment in near term. Call OI Build-up: Huge at 24,700โ€“25,000. Put OI support seen at 24,500, matching our support zone. Shorts are active above 24,600 levels โ€“ cautious upside. ๐ŸŒ Key Fundamental Factors ๐Ÿงพ Tariff Tension: Global jitters over Trumpโ€™s proposed 25% tariff on Indian exports weighing on sentiment. ๐Ÿ’ก Q1 Earnings: Mixed bag so far. HUL & other FMCGs surprised, but weakness seen in midcaps & auto. Banks to drive next leg. ๐ŸŒ Global Markets: US Tech stocks under pressure; crude rising; VIX slightly elevated. ๐Ÿ” FII/DII Action: FIIs turning net sellers. DIIs supporting dips โ€” watch flows closely. ๐Ÿง  Our View: Stay Cautious but Prepared As long as 24,500 holds, expect a choppy recovery toward 24,750โ€“24,800. A close below 24,500 can trigger a slide to 24,200. ๐Ÿ“Œ Avoid aggressive longs unless we reclaim 24,850+. ๐Ÿง  Accuracy Update: ๐Ÿ“ Support levels given by us yesterday worked like clockwork! ๐Ÿ“Š Nifty rebounded 70+ points from our marked level โ€“ reinforcing our precision and consistency. ๐Ÿš€ Trust the levels. Trade with logic. Stay ahead with us Bullish stocks:

JIOFIN
Bearish Stocks:
ADANIENT

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