📊 Nifty 50 – Short Term View (CMP ~24,710, -1.0%)
🔎 Technical Snapshot
Nifty slipped below 24,800 and is now trading near support at 24,600–24,650.
RSI ~30 (hourly) → oversold zone, suggesting possibility of a short-term bounce.
Resistance: 24,870–25,000 (supply zone & call OI buildup).
Support: 24,600, extended support at 24,400 (channel base).
Options data shows heavy Call OI at 24,800–25,000, while Put writing at 24,600 → range-bound with bearish tilt.
🎯 Short-term Outlook
Bias is bearish below 24,800, with downside targets of 24,600 → 24,400.
A rebound above 24,870 may shift momentum back toward 25,100.
🌐 Key Fundamental Drivers for Nifty 50
Global Cues – US Fed commentary, US bond yields, and crude oil trends remain critical. Rising yields or crude above $85 may pressure equities.
FII/DII Flows – Recent sessions saw FII outflows amid global risk-off, dragging indices lower. DII support is cushioning falls.
Rupee Movement – Weak INR vs USD affects imported inflation and FII flows.
Corporate Earnings – Mixed Q1 earnings; strong banking/IT offset by weakness in autos & FMCG margins.
Macro Data – CPI inflation easing is supportive, but higher food inflation risk remains.
Sectoral Rotation – Pharma & IT gaining defensive flows, while financials face selling pressure.
✅ Summary
Nifty faces selling pressure near 25k with support at 24,600–24,400. Short-term trend stays bearish to sideways unless index reclaims 24,870+. Fundamentally, flows from FIIs, global yields, crude & earnings will dictate near-term moves
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